At 7:10 eastern the MLB Diamond cutter is on the NY. Mets. There is a solid 10-0 system that dates to 2004 for home favorites off a road favored loss if they allowed 6+ runs and the total is less than 10 and their opponent tonight arrives off a road favored win scoring 7 or more runs. These teams win on average by a 7-2 score. NY is 12-1 as a home favorite off a loss if they allowed 5+ runs and the opponent tonight is off a win. The Mets have Verlander going and should bounce back with a win here

SU: 10-0

Team 7.40
Opp 2.70

Jul 06, 2004 recap Tue 2004 home Red Sox Tim Wakefield-R Athletics Barry Zito-L 11-0 11 W 1.5 O 17-4 0-2 11-0 -130.0 9.5 9
Jun 05, 2006 recap Mon 2006 home Yankees Mike Mussina-R Red Sox Josh Beckett-R 13-5 8 W 8.5 O 11-10 1-1 11-1 -130.0 9.5 9
Jun 16, 2008 recap Mon 2008 home Phillies Cole Hamels-L Red Sox Bartolo Colon-R 8-2 6 W 1.0 O 12-8 0-0 6-0 -165.0 9.0 9
Jun 14, 2013 recap Fri 2013 home Reds Bronson Arroyo-R Brewers Kyle Lohse-R 4-3 1 W -1.5 U 7-12 3-2 2-0 -145.0 8.5 10
Sep 02, 2013 recap Mon 2013 home Reds Mat Latos-R Cardinals Adam Wainwright-R 7-2 5 W 1.5 O 12-4 0-0 5-0 -115.0 7.5 9
May 19, 2017 recap Fri 2017 home Orioles Chris Tillman-R Blue Jays Aaron Sanchez-R 5-3 2 W -0.5 U 9-7 1-0 2-2 -122.0 8.5 10
May 25, 2018 recap Fri 2018 home Yankees Luis Severino-R Angels Andrew Heaney-L 2-1 1 W -5.5 U 5-6 0-0 1-0 -240.0 8.5 9
Apr 05, 2019 recap Fri 2019 home Phillies Nick Pivetta-R Twins Jake Odorizzi-R 10-4 6 W 5.5 O 11-11 1-3 6-0 -156.0 8.5 9
May 21, 2022 recap Sat 2022 home Yankees Nestor Cortes-L White Sox Dallas Keuchel-L 7-5 2 W 3.0 O 8-11 0-0 5-0 -225.0 9.0 9
Jun 27, 2022 recap Mon 2022 home Blue Jays Kevin Gausman-R Red Sox Connor Seabold-R 7-2 5 W -0.5 U 10-8 0-0 7-0 -200.0 9.5 9

May 16, 2023 recap Tue 2023 home Mets Justin Verlander-R Rays Yonny Chirinos-R -157.0 8.0