The BIG 10 Championship Play is on Iowa at 8:00 eastern. The Hawkeyes can hang in here as they are #1 in takeaways and have the #13 overall defense. They have covered 5 of 6 as a dog and 5 of 7 vs a winning team. The Wolverines may be a bit flat here over a monster win last week as a home dog over Ohio St. They apply to a negative championship system that is cashing 96% percent long term based on that premise. Michigan has failed to cover 4 of 5 in neutral field games and are 0-4 ats in December and 2-6 ats vs a winning team. Ferentz is solid as a dog in this spot and big 10 Championship Dogs are 8-1 ats. Michigan may win but Iowa covers.