Rob V: World Series GAME 3 DISCOUNTED Historical System Play
(MLB) Houston vs. Atlanta,
Money Line: -109.00 Atlanta (Home)
Result: Win
The Game 3 Play is on Atlanta t 8:10 eastern. Great Series with some of the most closely contested lines in recent history. So we hit the Historical Databases and see that teams like Houston ALL TIME In a World Series game 3 off a home win in Game 2 and a Game 1 home loss are just 9-15 in game 3 road games. Looking at the more recent results Game 3 World Series home teams that scored 2 or less runs and allowed 7 or more are 3-1 if the total is less than 9. Anderson for the Braves has allowed 2 or less runs in his last 5 starts all of which were wins. Garcia for Houston has allowed 16 runs in his last 14 innings. Atlanta is 8-0 as a playoff favorite, 5-0 after allowing 5 or more runs, 6-0 vs a righty and 10-1 at home vs a winning team. Houston has lost 7 of 10 here. Look for the Braves to take game three.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LW @ HH:



Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LW with site order HH (Houston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2021 MLB Semifinals:

series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 187-132 (.586)

series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 31-18 (.633)

series record, MLB only, all rounds: 27-16 (.628)

series record, MLB only, Finals round: 14-10 (.583)

Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 151-168 (.473)

Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 22-27 (.449)

Game 3 record, MLB only, all rounds: 20-23 (.465)

Game 3 record, MLB only, Finals round: 9-15 (.375) Against Houston