The NBA Western Conference power System Play is on Phoenix. Game 513 at 8:05 eastern. The Suns blew a huge lead at home losing to the Nets. The Pelicans blew a large lead on Portland. Both teams lost despite lighting up the scoreboard putting up over 120 each. So we headed to the database to run some models on this situation and we found just how rare it is. Road teams are 6-0 ats since 1995 at any line if both teams are off a home spread loss despite scoring 120 or more. The Suns have covered 5 of 6 as a favorite and are 5-0 ats on the road vs a team with a winning home record. The Pelicans are 0-5 ats after allowing 125 or more, have failed to cover 23 of 31 on Fridays and 1-5 ats vs .600 or better teams. Play on Phoenix.


SU: 4-2
ATS: 6-0-0

Mar 25, 2011 recap Fri 2010 Clippers Lakers away 104-112 1&2 9.5 197.0 -8 1.5 19.0 10.2 8.8 L W O 0
Jan 03, 2018 recap Wed 2017 Raptors Bulls away 124-115 1&1 -5.0 217.0 9 4.0 22.0 13.0 9.0 W W O 0
Jan 31, 2019 recap Thu 2018 Nets Spurs away 114-117 1&1 7.5 227.5 -3 4.5 3.5 4.0 -0.5 L W O 0
Mar 18, 2019 recap Mon 2018 Pelicans Mavericks away 129-125 1&1 5.0 232.5 4 9.0 21.5 15.2 6.2 W W O 1
Aug 18, 2020 recap Tue 2019 Trailblazers Lakers away 100-93 2&4 6.5 230.0 7 13.5 -37.0 -11.8 -25.2 W W U 0
Feb 03, 2021 recap Wed 2020 Wizards Heat away 103-100 0&1 8.0 227.5 3 11.0 -24.5 -6.8 -17.8 W W U 0

Feb 19, 2021 recap Fri 2020 Suns Pelicans away 2&1 -2.5 230.0