The Guaranteed NHL Totals Pay is on the OVER in the Tampa at NY Rangers game. Rotation numbers 77/78 at 7:35 eastern. This game fits a high end simulation model that shows the game playing over the total. In the series 4 of the last 5 have gone over. Tampa is 7 of 8 over on the road vs teams that are .400 or less at home, 15 of 20 as a road favorite from -150 to -200 and 20 of 28 vs Met conference teams. The Rangers have flown over in 5 of 6 as a dog, 13 of 18 off a loss of 3 or more and 9 of 12 as a home dog of +150 or higher. Look for this game to play over the total tonight.



The bonus Game 6 play is on Houston at 8:05 eastern. The sample is short in deed. Only one of the time in World series history has the road team won the first 5 games in this format. The home team snapped the streak in game 6 as seen below. The only other best-of-7 MLB playoff series in which the road team won the first five games was in 1906 in which the Chicago Cubs posted a LWLWL @ HVHVH win/site order through five games against the Chicago White Sox in the 1906 World Series (the Cubs then lost Game 6 on the road). Houston has Verlander on 5 days rest and they have taken momentum of the series and they remember the beat down in game 2 in a 12-3 loss. Look for the Astros to end this tonight.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading LLWWW @ HHVVV:

Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading LLWWW with site order HHVVV (Houston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2019 MLB Semifinals rounds:

series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 1-0 (1.000)

series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000)

series record, MLB only, all rounds: 1-0 (1.000)

series record, MLB only, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000)

Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 1-0 (1.000)

Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000)

Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 1-0 (1.000)

Game 6 record, MLB only, Finals round: 1-0 (1.000) Houston