Game 3 of the NBA Finals has us on Toronto. Game 525 at 9:00 eastern. On the blind road teams tied 1-1 in the finals that won game 1 and lost game 2 are 14-8 and even better to the spread. But even better is that rested non conference home favorites like the Warriors that are off a spread win as a road dog of 4 or less vs an opponent off a spread loss as a home favorite of 4 or less are 3-0 ats since 1995 and 0-4 straight up and ats in the NBA Finals, with he last of those losses in 2016 as Cleveland upset Golden St here as a 6 point dog. Another NBA Finals system has us on road dogs of 5 or more that have a .600 or better win percentage off a loss of 4 or more points, that has cashed 14 of 17. The Warriors have failed to cover 7 of 8 off a spread win and the Raptors have covered 5 of 6 vs winning teams and have a 20 point win here in December. The Dog has covered 5 of 6 in the series. Klay may play but at what level if hes not 100 percent, they will key on Curry and will Cousins continue to play at a high level. No Looney to to share minutes and No Durant. Warriors may pull the win, but we will take the points.



HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WL @ HH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied WL with site order HH (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2019 NBA Semifinals rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 172-139 (.553)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 38-27 (.585)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 67-38 (.638)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 15-7 (.682)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 159-152 (.511)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 36-29 (.554)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 57-48 (.543)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Finals round: 14-8 (.636)Toronto