The NBA West Conference system play is on Portland. Game 594 at 7:05 eastern. The ample size is small but as we can see below. Home teams off a spread loss of 1-3 points as a home favorite are 3-0 straight up and ats and win by a 108-92 score vs an opponent off a road dog spread win if the game went to over time. Conventional handicapping methods go out the window for this game as this was the first game since 1953 to go to 4 over times in the playoffs. Now these two come back in 1 day. Both teams were gassed at the end but game 3 has to take more out of a Denver team coming off a 7 game series and a team who plays their starters far more minutes tan their opponents. The Blazers depth comes into play here. Jokic played over 60 minutes and Denver is not a great road playoff team historically and they could get blown out here. Looking at the round 2 sequence scenarios we see that home teams in game 4 that lost game 1 on the road, won game 2 and 3 are 10-6 all time on the blind. Denver has failed to cover 13 of 19 with 1 day of rest while Portland has covered 22 of 32 with 1 day of rest. The Blazers have covered 30 of 27 after scoring 125 or more and the Nuggets have failed to cover 6 of 8 after scoring 100 or more. Finally road dogs with 1 exact day of rest that covered the spread on the rad in a game that went into 3 or more 4 over times are 0-9 straight up and 1-7-1 to the spread since 1995. Look for the Blazers to win and cover.

SU:3-0

ATS:3-0-0

Final

Team108.3

Opp92.7

Apr 22, 2008recapTue2007SpursSunshome102-962&2-2.5192.063.56.04.81.2WWO0

May 06, 2012recapSun2011CelticsHawkshome101-791&1-5.5171.02216.59.012.8-3.8WWO0

Jun 03, 2018recapSun2017WarriorsCavaliershome122-1032&2-12.0216.5197.08.57.80.8WWO0

May 05, 2019recapSun2018TrailblazersNuggetshome1&1-3.5210.5