We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Bills have had to lean on their offense all season while Baltimore is a more well-balanced team. You can't rely on scoring 30+ points in the playoffs, and the Ravens rolled to a 35-10 home victory over the Bills on Sept. 29. Although our numbers don't predict another lopsided win like that, the Ravens has still the edge.

This is a 5% play on the Ravens on the spread.