(Aatros -1½)—We really like the favorite in this matchup. The price seems off when you consider that Houston's starter, left-hander Framber Valdez, is 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA in his home starts. The Pirates planned to start left-hander Martin Perez before he got traded to the Padres. It looks like Jake Woodford (0-2, 10.80 ERA) will get the nod instead. Woodford has conceded 10 runs on 15 hits over 8 1/3 innings over two starts.

This is a 5% play on the Astros on the runline.