Stephen Nover's MLB First Half Total of the Year
(MLB) Minnesota vs. Boston,
Total: 8.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Chris Sale is the best pitcher in the American League. Jose Berrios is showing signs of becoming an elite pitcher, living up to his huge potential.

I find the opening total on this game a run too high. So I'm jumping on the under taking advantage of what I see as a rare oddsmaker mistake.

There's a reason the under is 10-1-1 during Berrios' last 12 starts. Berrios has been tremendous since returning to the majors. He has a 2.67 ERA with a 0.91 WHIP and a 54-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 54 innings. Berrios is 4-0 with a 2.84 ERA in four road starts. The Red Sox have never faced him giving Berrios an element of surprise.

Boston has scored four or fewer runs in six of their last nine games. The Red Sox were just held to two runs by the Angels' Parker Bridwell, Blake Parker and Yusmeiro Petit in a 4-2 loss Sunday. Boston could manage only eight hits off that less than inspiring trio.

Sale is a monster with a 9-3 mark and 2.85 ERA. He went into Sunday leading the majors in strikeouts with 146. Only once in his last eight starts has Sale permitted more than three earned runs. The Twins have been held to four or fewer runs in seven of their last nine games.

There shouldn't be any problem with the weather either as the forecast is for light wind and partly cloudy conditions with temperatures in the 70s.