#643/644 ASA PLAY ON Under 144 Points - Florida vs Tennessee, Sunday at 1 PM ET - This total opened 140 and has crept up to 143.5 and 144. Too high in our opinion. We understand why with the Gators coming of 2 very high scoring games in this SEC tourney vs Missouri (176 total points) and Alabama (186 total points). Florida went off on offense averaging 1.30 and 1.33 PPP in those 2 wins. Those were ultra fast paced games with 73 and 78 possessions vs defensive teams that didn’t match up very well with the Gators. Now we have a Tennessee team that will slow this game down and they match up very well defensively vs Florida who like to get out in transition. In the first meeting the Vols did allow 18 points on the break which was the most they’ve given up this season. They made adjustments in the second meeting and Florida had only 8 fast break points. You can bet UT will make sure the Gators can’t get out and run today. On the other side, the Vols aren’t a great shooting team ranking 8th in the SEC in 3 point FG% and 11th in 2 point FG% and they are running into a high level Florida defense that is 7th nationally in defensive efficiency (Tenn is 3rd nationally in that metric). When it comes to eFG% defense, Tennessee ranks #1 in the country and Florida #6. Both of these defenses are elite. In their 2 meetings this year they totaled 116 points (73-43 Florida win) and 110 points (64-44 Tennessee win). As you can see, only 1 team topped 70 in those 2 meetings and twice they were held under 50 points. These 2 defenses are fantastic defending the arc (1st and 7th nationally) and it showed in those 2 meetings where they combined to go 20 of 98 from 3. These teams know each other very well and obviously know how to defend the opposing offense. They’ve had 4 straight Unders in this series with 3 of those games failing to top 123 total points. We don’t think either team gets to 70 points here so grabbing the Under.