#53/54 ASA TOP PLAY ON OVER 6 Goals - Minnesota Wild vs Montreal Canadiens, Thursday at 8 PM ET - The Canadiens are starting Samuel Montembeault in goal and he has struggled this season with losses in 8 of 12 decisions and a GAA that is nearly 4 goals per game. The Canadiens are coming off a 7-5 win and that one continued their high-scoring trend in road games this season. Montreal has played 8 road games this season and these have averaged nearly 8 goals per game and 6 of the 8 totaled at least 7 goals! The Canadiens have scored an average of 3 goals per game in their 15 games since opening the season with a 1-0 win over Toronto. Montreal should again score well here but the reason the over is the bet here is because the Canadiens are in the wrong place at the wrong time. The Wild are coming off a 2-1 OT loss and have scored an average of 4.7 goals per game the last 3 times they were off a loss. This comes as no surprise as Minnesota has been one of the higher scoring teams in the league this season. What has made this even more impressive is that the Wild have played a road-heavy schedule so this season with 10 of 15 games away from Minnesota! Prior to the 2-1 loss, the Wild were on a 9-2 run and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. Both these teams have been strong on the power play and neither has been great on the penalty kill with the Wild particularly struggling in that department. Filip Gustavsson expected to start for Minnesota here and he is having a solid season but has allowed an average of 3 goals in his last 6 starts plus has given up 3 or more goals in 2 of last 3 starts at home. Before the 2-1 loss at Chicago, 8 of last 9 Minnesota games totaled at least 6 goals. With this total set at 6 goals, the value here is huge. Given numbers like the above it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is showing the highest probability here for a range of 7 to 8 goals with 4-3 or 5-3 the most highly probable outcomes as each club is likely to reach the 3-goal mark here. Look for at least 7 goals in this one! Over is the play Thursday in Minnesota.