#465/466 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 46.5 Points - Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings at 8:20 PM ET - Indy’s offense gets a shot in the arm here with Joe Flacco starting at QB. There has been a big difference in this offense when Flacco starts and plays the majority of the game the Colts are averaging 27 PPG. That includes games vs Tennessee and Pittsburgh, 2 top 10 defenses. When Richardson starts and plays the majority of the game for Indianapolis they are averaging just 19 PPG. Flacco completes 66% of his passes with 7 TD’s and 1 interception. Richardson has completed 44% of his passes with 4 TD’s and 7 interceptions. Huge upgrade in the passing game Flacco under center to go along with an Indy running game that ranks 11th in the NFL. They should have success vs a Minnesota defense that is trending down allowing at least 29 points in 3 of their last 4 games. The Vikings offense is averaging 27 PPG on the season on 6.1 YPP (8th in the NFL). They are facing an Indianapolis defense that ranks 28th in total D, can’t stop the run (30th in run defense) and is allowing opposing QB’s to complete just over 68% of their passes (27th in the league). They have held a few recent opponents to a lower scoring output, however those offenses rank near the bottom of the NFL (Tennessee 28th in scoring & Miami 32nd in scoring). Minnesota also gets a huge boost offensively in this game with one of the top TE’s in the NFL, TJ Hockenson, returning from an injury. At home the Minnesota offense has been very good averaging 29 PPG this season on 6.4 YPP. Since 2020, the Vikings have gone 17-5-1 to the Over as home favorites if the total is less than 51 points which is a key NFL number. Another Over here.