#124 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Central Florida -126 ON THE MONEYLINE over BYU, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - NOTE – this line is UCF -2.5 but we’re using them on the money line (-126) just to win outright. BYU is ranked in the top 15 yet an underdog vs a UCF team that has a 3-4 record and has lost 4 in a row. Hmmm? This line opened with BYU as a favorite and it flipped and we agree with the move. We were on Oklahoma State +9.5 @ BYU last Friday night and felt that the Cougars were overvalued and still are. The Cowboys led for most of that game and BYU pulled out a late 38-35 win with a TD in the final minute of the game. The Cougars have been quite lucky to be sitting with a perfect 7-0 record. Last week’s win over OSU aside, they were outgained in wins over Kansas State and Baylor and were +3 in turnovers in their win over Arizona. This is their first road game in almost a month and it’s long travel to Orlando. The BYU defense has OK numbers vs the run, however last week facing a mobile QB in the first half (OSU QB Rangel was injured in the 2nd half) they allowed 270 yards rushing on over 7 YPC. OSU starting QB Rangel ran for 77 yards on 5 carries in the first half prior to his injury. We look for BYU to struggle defensively vs a UCF offense that ranks 3rd nationally averaging 280 YPG rushing on 6.0 YPC. The Golden Knights have a mobile QB Brown (transfer from Miami FL) who has started the last 2 games for UCF and rushed for 148 yards. Last week with Brown at the helm, the Knights nearly upset undefeated Iowa State on the road. The Cyclones needed a late TD with 30 seconds left to pick up the 3 point win. UCF rushed for a ridiculous 354 yards vs ISU on over 9.0 YPC. Despite their losing record, Central Florida has a +100 YPG margin and +1.2 YPP margin. BYU is primed to get picked off and this is the spot in our opinion. We like Central Florida.