#465 ASA FREE PLAY ON Chicago Bears +3 over Atlanta Falcons, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - This line of Atlanta -3 tells us the oddsmakers feel this game right now would be a pick-em on a neutral site. We disagree. We’d have Chicago favored on a neutral site. The Bears are playing very well right now. Their offense has been fantastic averaging 31 PPG over their last 4. They lead the NFL in rushing at 201 YPG and they’ve rushed for at least 235 yards in 5 straight games! They’ve figured out to best utilize QB Fields over the last month and he’s been fantastic throwing for 8 TD’s and 2 interceptions while rushing for 467 yards over the last 4 games. They should have a field day vs an Atlanta defense that allows 120 YPG rushing and ranks 25th DVOA vs the rush per Football Outsiders. We’re not sure the Falcons can keep up offensively here. Their offense has gone in the tank scoring 17 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games. They have topped 315 total yards just once in their last 6 games and they’ve lost 4 of their last 6 after starting 2-2. The Birds have also gone 0-4 ATS their last 4 games after covering their first 6. Atlanta has been outgained in 9 straight games after outgaining the Saints in the opener. They rank 28th in YPP margin (Chicago ranks 20th) and since the beginning of last season the Birds have been a home favorite 6 times going 0-6 ATS and winning only 1 of those games outright. Chicago is the better team right now and getting points. We’ll take it.