#181/182 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 51.5 Points – Kansas State vs Baylor, Saturday at 7 PM ET - There seems to be huge games every single weekend in the Big 12 and this Saturday is no exception when Kansas State takes on Baylor. Big 12 games this season have averaged 60PPG and these two teams have a combined Over record of 10-2 in conference play. The O/U on this game currently sits at 52.5 which is the second lowest number set by the Oddsmakers this season on both teams. The only games these two teams have played in with a lower number was against Iowa State. The Cyclones are one of the worst offensive teams in the country, but also one of the best defensively. Looking closer at Baylor’s offense we see they’ve started to click with four straight games of 35+ points. The Bears have the 27th most efficient offense in college football, average 12.7 yards for every point scored (17th), 34.5PPG and 5.7-yards per play which is 43rd. Kansas State’s offense is 23rd in OEFF, average 6.2YPP (24th) and score 30.1PPG on the season. Baylor converts 44.25% of their 3rd downs and can extend drives. K-Stare has a red zone scoring percentage of 90.32% so when they get inside the 20-yards line they put up points. We are not ignoring the fact that the Wildcats have some solid defensive numbers, but they have also given up 34-points to Texas, 38 to TCU, 28 to Texas Tech and 34 to Oklahoma. The Bears are also good defensively, but they too have had a few lapses defensively allowing 35 to Oklahoma, 43 to West Virginia and 36 to Oklahoma State. Weather at game time in Waco looks perfect with temps in the 40’s and very light winds. This game gets to 59 or more points.