#458 ASA PLAY ON 8* Washington Commanders +3 over Minnesota Vikings, Sunday at 1 PM ET - The Vikings are vastly overvalued in our opinion. They come in with a 6-1 record but they’ve been outgained in total yardage on the season. They rank 27th in YPP differential despite facing the 21st most difficult schedule thus far. 5 of their 6 wins have come by a one score margin and they rank #2 in the NFL in turnover differential at +6. In other words, this team has been VERY fortunate to get to the record they have. Washington actually has a slight better YPP margin than the Vikings despite their 4-4 record. The Commanders are trending in the right direction having won 3 straight games and QB Heinicke gives them a better chance to be successful offensively than starter Wentz who is out. In his 2 starts this season, wins over GB & Indy, Heinicke has completed over 67% of his passes for 480 yards. Washington has outgained 4 of their last 5 opponents and their only loss over their last 4 games was 21-17 vs Tennessee in a game the Commanders outgained the Titans by almost 200 yards! Minnesota already has a huge lead in the NFC North with no other team above .500 and with a big game @ Buffalo on deck, this is a dangerous spot for the Purple & Gold. Tough to lay points on the road with a defense that ranks 28th in the NFL in both total D and YPP allowed. Take the points with Washington.