PREMIUM
Total Blowout NFL 10*
(NFL) Carolina vs. LA Rams,
Total: 41.50 | -107.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 41.50 | -107.00 Under
Result: Win
#267/268 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* UNDER 41.5 Points - Carolina Panthers vs LA Rams, Sunday at 4 PM ET - Two of the worst offenses in the NFL go at it in this one. Football Outsiders DVOA have these offenses rated 31st (Carolina) and 26th (LA). The Panthers rank dead last in the NFL in total offense (YPG) and the Rams rank 26th . When it comes to scoring the Rams are averaging only 16 PPG (28th) and Carolina has put up 18 PPG (24th). Both defenses are better than the opposing offenses. Carolina did give up a season high 37 points to San Francisco last weekend, however the Niners scored on an interception return for TD and a 3-yard TD drive after Carolina was stopped on downs. Prior to that the Panthers were allowing just 21 PPG in their first 4 games. They should fare much better than that here vs a Rams offense that has fallen off a cliff this season. LA has been held to 10 points or less in 3 of their 5 games this season. Their only halfway decent offensive performance was vs an Atlanta defense that ranks 27th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball the Rams should have lots of success on defense. They are facing 3rd string QB PJ Walker in this one who steps in for an injured Baker Mayfield. Since giving up 31 points to Buffalo in the season opener, the LA defense has allowed just 5 offensive TD’s in their last 4 games. If we subtract the defensive & special teams TD’s, the Rams are allowing only 15.75 PPG over their last 4 games. Carolina has been held to 16 points or less in 3 of their last 4 games and they rank dead last in the NFL in 3rd down conversion rate. We can’t imagine they’ll improve with Walker at QB. Under is our play here.