ASA top play on 10* OVER 7.5 Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays, 4 PM ET - We get two hot hitting teams squaring off today in what should be a run-fest for both teams. Over the course of the last fifteen days the Rays are the 3rd highest hitting team in the Bigs, the O’s are 9th. Over that same time span the Rays have produced 76 runs *4th) while Baltimore has scored 59 (14th). Overall for the season, the O’s are averaging 4.22 run/9 innings while Tampa Bay is averaging 4.24. In their last ten games both teams run production is even higher with Baltimore scoring an average of 5.42 runs/9 innings, Tampa Bay 4.81. Baltimore starting pitcher Dean Kremer has impressive numbers on paper at 3-1 with a 2.15 ERA but we expect to see him start to regress as his XFIP of 4.65 is a better indicator of where he stands overall as a pitcher. His counterpart today is Ryan Yarbrough for the Rays who has the second highest XFIP on the board today of 5.76. Yarbrough is 0-4 on the season with a 5.82 ERA. This number is lower than it should be so grab the value with the OVER!