#957 ASA PLAY ON 8* St Louis Cardinals +155 over Atlanta Braves, Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET - This line opened WAY too high at -190 and has dropped into the -175 range which still gives us solid value at +150 for the Cards. Atlanta took the first 2 games of this series by a combined score of 13-4 but only outhit the Cardinals by 4 total hits and have only had 2 more total baserunners in the 2 games combined. STL has 18 hits in this series which normally equates to approximately 9ish runs making their 4 runs in this series rather deceiving. Thus, the offenses have performed almost dead even in this series yet Atlanta is +9 on the run differential. The Cards send Mikolas to the mound and he has allowed 2 ER’s or fewer in 5 straight starts. He’s been their most consistent starter this season with an ERA of 2.61 and a WHIP of 0.99. Atlanta thrives on hitting HR’s (1.5 per 9 innings) but this is a bad match up for their offense with Mikolas only allowing 9 HR’s all season in 100 IP. Fried will start for Atlanta and he has been very good as well with a 2.66 ERA but his numbers at home are not as good as they are on the road including a WHIP of 1.20. Add to that the fact that STL has the 5th highest BA in the league vs lefties at .265 while averaging almost 6 RPG (just 4.5 vs righties) and we have a decent match up for the Cardinal hitters. We like the value with St Louis as a big money line dog here.