ASA top play on 10* UNDER 9.5 RUNS L.A. Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds, 6:40 PM ET - It all starts with pitching in this match up with a pair of solid starters in Tyler Mahle for the Reds and Tony Gonsolin for the Dodgers. Gonsolin is unbeaten this season at 8-0 with a 1.42 ERA and even though is xFIP is elevated at 3.68, the Reds don’t have a lineup capable of taking advantage. Cincinnati is 16th in runs per game on the season at 4.35, but in their last three games they have produced just 3.33 runs/per game. As a team the Reds hit just .232 against right-handed starters this season, they rank 22nd in overall OPS at .686 and are 18th in strikeouts per game. The Dodgers are one of the highest scoring teams in the league at 5.02 but recently they’ve struggled to put up runs at 3.67 in their most recent three games. Mahle has pitched better than his 2-5 record and 4.46 ERA. His xERA is 3.23 and his xFIP is 3.83. He has pitched four strong games in a row allowing 4 total earned runs in 27.2 innings of work. In Gonsolin’s last five starts he’s allowed 4 total earned runs and pitched a pair of shutouts with all five games staying below the total. Both teams are missing some key offensive personnel and with reliable starters we can’t see this game getting to 10 runs.