ASA top play on 10* NY Mets -125 vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 7:10 PM ET - The Mets have been nearly unbeatable at home this season with a 20-9 record and the 2nd best total run differential in the Big Leagues at +49 runs. The Mets offense is one of the best in MLB ranking 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 1st in overall average (.263) and 6th in OPS at .740. New York will send Tylor Megill to the mound who is 4-2 on the season with a 4.50ERA. The Mets had won 5 straight games with Megill as the starter before two bad outings in his two most recent starts. The Brewers struggling offense doesn’t pose much of a threat in this game and we like Megill to get back on track. Milwaukee is averaging 4.41 runs/9 innings which ranks 16th in the league and have a team batting average of .231 which is 25th. Milwaukee is 3-11 SU their last fourteen games and they’ve been shutout four times in that stretch and scored 4 or less runs nine times. Ashby has pitched well in spots for Milwaukee but he is coming off 4.2 innings of work against Washington in which he gave up 13 hits and 6 earned runs. The Brewers got a big win yesterday but had their best pitcher on the mound in Burnes who allowed just 5 hits. In a game we may only need 4 runs to win we like the much better offense of the Mets.