#977/978 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 9.5 Runs – Oakland vs Atlanta, Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET - This total opened 9 which is very close to where we had our power ratings set at 8.7. Now it has moved up to 9.5 so we are getting nearly a full run of value according to our ratings so we’ll grab the Under here. Oakland continues to struggle on offense. After scoring 2 runs yesterday, they have now scored 2 runs or fewer in 6 of their last 7 games. The A’s offense ranks either 29th or 30th (out of 30 teams) in RPG, batting average, OPS, and HR’s per 9 innings. They are facing a pitcher nobody on the Oakland roster has ever seen in Ian Anderson. He’s pitched better than his overall numbers this year as his ERA is 4.70 but his xERA is 3.63. Anderson had a 3.58 ERA for Atlanta last year in 24 starts which is very close to his xERA this year telling us that is about where he should be. Oakland will send rookie Jared Koenig to the hill for his first ever MLB appearance. His numbers for AAA Las Vegas have been very impressive with a 2.21 ERA and a K to walk ratio of 10.5 to 2.5 per 9 innings. He has allowed 1 ER or less in 4 of his last 5 starts for Vegas. We expect Atlanta to struggle offensively early on especially with none of their hitters having any experience vs Koenig. Over the last 10 games for each of these teams combined (20 games total) only 6 have gone Over 9 runs. The current total of 9.5 is set too high and we like the Under.