#956 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Cincinnati -125 over Washington, Saturday at 4:10 PM ET - Washington picked up the win here last night and we like Cincy to come out on top at home on Saturday afternoon. The Reds have actually played quite well since their start of the season debacle. They began the season winning just 3 of their first 25 games, however since then they have a winning record at 15-11 their last 26 games. They are 9-6 at home during that stretch. The Reds send Mahle to the hill and he is pitching better than he gets credit for. His ERA is 5.53 but his xFIP is 4.28 and his xERA is just 3.63 telling us he’s been unlucky at times this season. He’s actually allowed 2 ER’s or less in 4 of his last 5 starts and he was one of Cincy’s top starters last year with a 3.75 ERA. Lifetime vs hitters currently on Washington’s roster, Mahle has allowed a batting average of just .196. Washington is 10-17 on the road this year and they have not won back to back road games all season! Fedde hits the hill for the Nats and his ERA is 4.60 which is exactly where his xERA sits as well. His WHIP is 1.53 and he’s had trouble with walks (4.5 per 9 innings) and HR’s (1.2 per 9) this season. He’s had big problems with players currently on the Cincinnati roster as they’ve hit .400 lifetime vs Fedde. He’s backed up by one of the worst bullpens in the league, especially on the road where Washington relievers have an ERA of 6.63. While Cincinnati has turned around their season, the Nationals continue to struggle with a 22-47 record their last 60 road games and 7-25 record their last 32 games after a win. The Reds get the home win on Saturday afternoon.