ASA top play on 10* Over 201.5 Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat, 8:30 PM ET - VALUE! The two other games played in Boston in this series had Over/Under numbers of 208 and 206 so you can see the value we are getting here. Three of the five games have finished with more than this total and overall the games have averaged 212.5PPG. The two games that didn’t go Over the number were Games 4 &5 which both featured horrendous shooting nights at 33% & 32% by Miami, which are both well below their season average of 46.7% (13th). The Heat are the #1 or best 3-point shooting team in the NBA this season, yet are coming off a game in which they made just 7 of 45 3-point attempts or 16%. That clearly is an aberration and can’t continue. Boston has many offensive weapons on offense with Tatum, Brown, Horford and Smart if he plays. The Celtics shot just 40% in Game 4 at home but bounced back with a 46% night in Game 5 in Miami. We like that trend to continue here at home in this elimination game. The field goal attempts have been high enough to produce higher scores with 165 in Game 5 and 168, 162, 170 and 169 in the previous games of this series. Boston’s home games have averaged 213PPG this season, Miami’s road contests have averaged 213.1PPG. Grab the value and bet OVER!