#908 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Milwaukee -135 over Atlanta, Monday at 7:40 PM ET - These 2 just met in early May in Atlanta and the Braves took 2 of 3 giving Milwaukee a little extra incentive here. The Brewers are happy to be back at home after a long 9 game road trip. At home Milwaukee is 10-4 on the season and run differential of +3 RPG. They average 6.5 RPG at home and vs right handers that number jumps up to 7 RPG at American Family Field! They’ll be facing Ian Anderson who has an ERA of 4.20 and has given up 4 HR’s in his last 5 games. That could be a problem in this one vs a Brewer line up that averages 1.42 HR’s per 9 innings, 2nd in the Majors. The Braves are on the road for the first time since May 4th after a disappointing 4-4 home stand. They are just 6-8 on the road this year hitting just .216 as a team and averaging only 3.4 RPG. They are facing Freddy Peralta for Milwaukee and we feel he is undervalued right now. His ERA is 4.40, but most of that came in his first 2 starts where he struggle back in mid April. His xERA is 3.40 and his FIP is fantastic at 2.37 which lends to the fact he has pitched much better than his ERA suggests. In his last 4 starts Peralta has allowed just 4 ER’s with 28 strikeouts and only 5 walks. At home this season he is 2-0 with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of just 0.93. Versus current players on Atlanta’s roster, Peralta has faced 49 plate appearances and the Braves hitters have a batting average of just .209. We like Milwaukee to get the win at home tonight.