PITCHERS "ACTION": #963 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Cleveland +110 over LA Angels, Monday at 9:35 PM ET - Shane Bieber gets the start for Cleveland and we like the value here. We were on Bieber in his most recent start, an 11-1 win over the White Sox, and we’re getting Cleveland’s top starter basically at even money. On the season Bieber has started 3 games, allowed just 4 ER’s, has 16 strikeouts to just 3 walks, and has a WHIP of 0.69. We also like the fact the Guardians ace has not faced the Angels in either of the last 2 seasons. Cleveland was just swept @ NYY over the weekend, yet even with that they still own the 3rd best run differential in the American League. Their offense ranks in the top 4 in MLB in RPG, batting average, and on base percentage. They will be facing Lorenzen, a career relief pitcher, on the hill for the Angels. Since the start of the 2019 season, Lorenzen has pitched in 100 games and started just 4 of those games. That includes 2 this season and he has allowed 5 ER’s allowed in 6.1 innings. His numbers haven’t been great the last 2 seasons with an ERA of 5.59 and 4.28 as a relief pitcher. Because he’s not used to long outings, never threw more than 30 pitches last season, we expect Lorenzen to struggle as a starter. He’s backed up by a bullpen that ranks 26th in ERA and has allowed 11 HR’s on the season, the 2nd most in MLB. While Cleveland was struggling with the Yankees over the weekend, the Angels were nearly swept at home vs the downtrodden Orioles. Their lone win was by a single run in a game where the O’s had 3 more hits than LA. We’ll take a top of the line starter at small dog money in this one.