#801 ASA FREE PLAY ON VCU +5 over Wake Forest, Saturday at 4 PM ET - Wake advanced to the 2nd round of the NIT by beating Towson at home by 10 points. The Deacs shot nearly 50% from the field in that game (Towson shot 35%) and went to the FT line 29 times to just 16 for the Tigers. They did that vs a defense that ranks outside the top 100 in efficiency. We highly doubt they’ll have that level of success in this game vs a VCU defense than ranks 6th nationally in efficiency, 8th in eFG% allowed, and 4th in 3 point % allowed. Another strength of this Ram defense is their ability to create turnovers. They do it very well causing opponents to give the ball away 25% of the time which is 4th nationally. WF doesn’t protect the ball very well ranking 222nd in TO percentage so we expect a number of extra offensive possessions for VCU. One of VCU’s weaknesses offensively is they turn the ball over a lot as well. However, Wake is not a defense that creates TO’s so that shouldn’t hurt the Rams as much as it might have vs a more aggressive type defense. VCU has been fantastic on the road (9-2 SU record) as well as a big money maker as an underdog (8-2 ATS this season). The top rated team in the A10, Davidson, we have rated almost identical to this Wake Forest team. VCU went to Davidson and won as a 3 point dog. Now they are getting 5 points which we feel is some nice value. The Rams will gave the Demon Deacons all they can handle here. Take the points.