#481/482 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 48.5 Points – LA Chargers vs Las Vegas, Sunday at 8:20 PM ET - This one is for all the marbles. The winner makes the playoffs and the loser is eliminated. Charger games average 54 total points which is the most in the NFL. This offense is clicking to say the least 28 points in each of their last 4 games. LA has gone Over the total in 5 straight games and 8 of their last 10. While their offense is one of the best in the NFL, their defense has been one of the worst ranking 30th in rushing defense, 23rd in overall defense, and 26th in scoring defense. Over their last 10 games only 1 team failed to reach 21 points on this LA defense and that was Denver last week with Drew Lock at QB. If you throw out the Chargers first 4 games of the season where the defense seemed to be playing pretty well, they have allowed an average of 29 PPG over the last 12. The Raider defense has decent overall numbers but their solid defensive performances have come vs poor offenses. Just in the last 10 games they’ve faced 4 offenses ranked 20th or lower in scoring (Washington, NY Giants, Denver, and Cleveland) and allowed an average of 17 PPG. In their other 6 games (over the last 10) Vegas has allowed 33 PPG including giving up 48 & 41 to KC, 33 to Dallas, and 32 to Cincinnati. LV is a middle to upper half of the NFL type offense in YPG (11th), YPP (9th) & PPG (18th) but we like them to have success at home here vs a defense that has struggled. Both teams pull out all the stops offensively in this win or go home game and it goes OVER the total in perfect playing conditions in Las Vegas.