#469 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Jets +2.5 over Denver Broncos, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - We’re taking the better team getting points here. Both teams are 1-3 but the Jets have played the much tougher schedule already facing the Bills, Cowboys, Patriots and Chiefs. The Broncos have faced the Raiders, Commanders, Bears, and Dolphins and the first 3 listed have just 4 wins between them. Despite that NY has a better YPP margin, PPG margin, and the much better defense. The Jets are allowing just 5.1 YPP on the season while Denver is giving up a league worst 7.0 YPP. New York’s defensive line is among the best in the NFL ranking in the top 10 in pressure percentage and they’ll be facing a Denver offensive line that is in the bottom 12 in sack percentage allowed. The Jets offense should get a reprieve here as they are facing the worst defense in the NFL DVOA after facing 4 top 14 DVOA defense thus far including #1 (Buffalo) and #2 (Dallas). The offense actually looked much better last week vs a solid KC stop unit putting up 5.9 YPP and almost pulled the upset losing 23-20. QB Wilson had his best game of the season completing 72% of his passes for 245 yards and 2 TD’s. His confidence should be high again on Sunday facing a Denver defense that is allowing opposing QB’s to complete a ridiculous 78% of their passes (last in the NFL) for 9.0 yards per attempt (last in the NFL). Last week this Denver defense allowed Chicago QB Fields to complete 80% of his passes for 9.6 yards per attempt and 4 TD’s. The Broncos trailed by 21 late in the 3rd and rallied for a late 3 point win in that game. Today they play a much tougher defense and we don’t see any big comebacks if they struggle again. Dating back the middle of the 2021 season, the Broncos have been favored 13 times and their ATS record in those games is 1-11-1. Take the points with the NYJ.