ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line (-1.5 goals +165) over Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:05 PM ET

We sense a blowout here. The Lightning are well aware that they let a great opportunity pass them by in Game 5 Saturday when they played too conservatively with a 2-1 lead and went on to lose 3-2 in double overtime. Tampa Bay will be much more aggressive in Game 6 Monday and that means when they get the lead they will keep their foot on the gas and keep expanding that lead throughout the game in our opinion. Rather than lay the -165 price on the money line (too pricey for our liking) we can flip that to a +165 by taking the Lightning on the puck line. Yes, that means TB must win the game by more than a 1 goal margin for us to win our bet but with the way they've outplayed the Stars for much of the past four games and considering how Game 5 played out, a Game 6 blowout seems imminent. Tampa Bay is 6-0 when off a loss in this post-season. The Bolts last 10 wins have come by an average margin of 2.4 goals per game. The Stars have 11 losses in this post-season and the average margin of those defeats is 2.3 goals. 8 of the 11 Dallas defeats in the bubble in Edmonton have come by a margin of 2 or more goals. Prior to a bit of a "miracle win" in Game 5 of this series, the Stars were only 7-7 in their 14 prior games. You can see from all of the above why we expect the Lightning to win this game and why we expect the victory to be by a big margin. Dallas has been held to just 1 power play goal in this series while Tampa Bay has scored 6. Don't be surprised if special teams play a role again Monday as the Lightning win the game big and, in doing so, win Lord Stanley's Cup as well in their second opportunity to close out the series and complete the season with the ultimate prize! Laying the 1.5 goals (and getting a big plus money return, currently in +165 range) with Tampa Bay is the value play here.