ASA PLAY 8* ON South Alabama Jaguars (+) over UAB Blazers, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET: Game #418

This line was as low as a -5 but now has risen to as high as a -7 as of Wednesday evening. We're going to take advantage of this line rising to the key number of 7 and fade a Blazers team that is dealing with a key injury here. Even though the injury is to his non-throwing shoulder, starting QB Johnston is expected to be out for this game. That means redshirt freshman Lucero would be getting his first ever start and it would be on the road. Keep in mind, South Alabama nearly upset Tulane two weeks ago and that was on the road. The Jaguars have been a double digit dog in each of their first two games this season and their first game saw them get the outright upset as a big home dog versus Southern Mississippi. That said, even though UAB is a quality football team and returned a lot of starters this season, the QB situation is a precarious one to say the least and the Jaguars have proven capable of being tough on opponents that are projected to be much better than them. Per our computer math model, some of the projections have the Jags getting the outright upset and the majority show them staying with less than a TD margin in this one. With that being the case, the home underdog is the way to go here. Grab the points with South Alabama in what could be a home upset in evening action Thursday.