ASA PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals, Saturday at 6:05 PM ET

Yesterday's game totaled 15 runs and went 12 innings. Both of those factors (both teams hitting and both teams using up bullpen arms) are good signs for what to expect today. Rookie Ian Anderson goes for the Braves. He was great in his first start, then got hit some in his second start, then couldn't find the plate in his third start. This is the norm with rookies trying to find their way in their first taste of the majors and now it is another road start against a quality lineup in this one. The Nationals have averaged scoring 6.9 runs per game their last 7 games. The Braves have also been a tear at the plate and their goes back even further. Over their last 13 games, Atlanta has scored 6 or more runs in all but 3 of those games. Even taking out the two outliers (a shutout and a game in which they scored a ridiculous 29 runs!), the Braves averaged 7.5 runs per game the other dozen games. Atlanta has plenty of experience against Patrick Corbin and just crushed him last week so this is not a good match-up for the Nationals left-hander. The Braves hit Corbin hard and get to the southpaw again this time and then get into a suspect Washington bullpen. Per our computer math model, this total of only 9 runs (and some 8.5 out there) is a case of substance over form and the bats should be the story of the day in this one. Bet the OVER in Washington in early evening action Saturday.