ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Vegas Golden Knights versus Vancouver Canucks, Sunday at 10:30 PM ET

Game 1 stayed just under the total as Vegas erupted for 5 goals but Vancouver was uncharacteristically held to a goose egg. 9 of the last 11 times the Canucks had been shutout or held to just one goal in a game, they had scored 3 or more goals in their next game. Sure enough Vancouver responded with a 5-goal outburst in Game 2. We used the over in that game and we'll use it again here in Game 4 after the Canucks were again shutout in Game 3. Our computer math model is forecasting a 4-3 game here. Vegas just continues to pile up goals and has scored at least 3 goals in all but 3 of its 11 games in the bubble. The Canucks have scored at least 3 goals in all but 4 of their 12 games in the bubble. There is so much talent in terms of scorers in this series and we give the experience edge to Vegas of course but the young and speedy talent of Vancouver continues to be a lot for the Knights to deal with. The Canucks made adjustments to increase the quality of their scoring chances in Game 2 and will do the same in Game 4 after falling short in Game 3. The expectation Sunday is that both teams will be successful in testing the other teams' goalie early and often as this is a back to back situation and that puts pressure on the d-men in front of the goalies as they play extra minutes in a 24 hour window. Look for an exciting game with a lot of great looks at the net and potential for breakaways with all the speed on the ice for this one and how these teams match up. Though it didn't work out in Game 3 (Canucks shut out) we're sure of a Game 4 response from Vancouver. That said, this one is likely to play out similar to the first three games of the other 2nd round match-up in the West and that one has seen the Stars and Avalanche combine for an average of 8.3 goals per game thus far. Bet the OVER in Vegas in NHL late night action Sunday