ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays, Thursday at 6:40 PM ET

The Rays Ryan Yarbrough is struggling this month. In his most recent start he allowed 4 earned runs and that is the 3rd time he has allowed 4 or more earned runs in his 4 August starts. Yarbrough is averaging less than 5 innings per start this month plus in those 3 rough outings he allowed 5 homers! The Orioles also have a struggling hurler on the mound for this one. John Means gets the start and the Baltimore southpaw is without a win in his 4 starts this season and has amassed a 10.13 ERA along the way. Perhaps even more concerning for Means is that all those starts were at home. Now he is on the road where his 2019 ERA was 2 runs higher than at home. In other words, things are unlikely to improve for Means here! The Orioles are 3-9 in their last dozen games overall and have allowed an average of 6.3 runs in those contests. In their last dozen road games, ironically, Baltimore has also scored an average of 6.3 runs per game! The Rays are a red hot 15-3 their last 18 games and have scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. Per our computer math model a 7-6 final here would not at all be a surprise and we only need 9 runs to cash this ticket! We like those odds as a 6-5 game or even 5-4 contest also gets us there. This game projected to see plenty of early offense from both teams and that helps set the tone for a high-scoring match-up. Bet the OVER in Tampa Bay in early evening action Thursday.