#459/460 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER the total - Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts, Sunday at 1 PM ET - We are not expecting a ton of points between these two teams on Sunday. The Colts offense is in trouble! They are starting rookie QB Richardson out of Florida who only started 13 games with the Gators. It would be much easier for Richardson if he had RB Taylor in the backfield to take pressure off the passing game. Taylor led the league in rushing yards in 2021 but demanded a trade before the season and is now on the PUP list and out for four games. Indianapolis averaged just 17PPG last season which ranked 30th in the league. On average, it took them 18.3 yards gained to score 1-point which was also 30th. The Colts lacked explosiveness too with an offense that averaged only 4.8-Yards Per Play which was again 30th. The Colts defense made positive strides toward the end of the season allowing 24 or less points in 5 straight games to end the year. That includes one game against this same Jags team. Indianapolis allowed over 25PPG on the year, but they gave up 32 or more points in four of their first five games. The Jaguars emerged as a Playoff team last season under the direction of new coach Doug Pederson. Jacksonville did rank 8th in scoring a year ago and had a top 10 offense in Yards Per Play and were 12th in Yards Per Point. The Jags made huge strides defensively last season allowing just 21.4PPG compared to 26.9PPG they gave up the season before. Jacksonville allowed 13.1-Yards per Point in 2021 (30th) and improved to 16.4-Yards Per Point allowed in 2022. In the two meetings last season the O/U numbers were 41.5 and 44 so we are clearly getting value here. We look to bet Under on Week #1 games with a Total of 46 or less and the home team is an underdog which has produced a 47-25-2 ATS record dating back 20 years.