<b>ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: San Diego Padres (-1.5 runs) over Texas Rangers, Thursday at 8:10 PM ET</b><Br><Br>The Rangers have lost 4 straight and are 3-7 on the road this season.  The Padres have won 3 straight and are 7-4 at home this season.  San Diego is also riding the positive momentum of a huge walk-off win last night that left the Rangers stunned!  After tying the game late on a homer the Rangers were able to force extra innings.  They then took a 1-run lead in the top of the 10th only to watch the bullpen implode and the Padres won it on a Manny Machado grand slam in the bottom of the 10th!  Couple the hot versus not factor and the clubhouse mood for each team (particularly after last night's finish) and you have a great situation to be taking a look at San Diego in this one.  The Padres are a pricey money line favorite here with good reason.  Not only because of all of the above but also the pitching factor here.  Dinelson Lamet has been every bit of a young ace for the Padres.  The San Diego right-hander throws plenty of heat and then keeps hitters off-balance with a devastating slider.  That is a lethal combo and Lamet has a 1.59 ERA in his 5 starts this season.  He has piled up 36 strikeouts in 28 and 1 / 3 innings and opponents are hitting only .152 against him.  On the other hand, the Rangers Kyle Gibson is a very hittable pitcher.  He has allowed opponents to hit .278 against him so far this season and has allowed high opponents BAA in 3 of the past 4 seasons (.275, .292, .298).  Last season Gibson had a 5.45 ERA in night games.  Per our computer math model, the home team is poised to win in a rout as they ride momentum and the best value here is with utilizing the run line to get them at a plus money return by laying the 1.5 runs.  Lay it!  Bet the San Diego Padres -1.5 runs in evening action Thursday.