ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET

The value here is huge. This total opened up at an 8.5 which was already low (more on that in a moment) but then dropped down to a solid 8 which adds even more value to this one. Everyone saw the Rays struggle on their road trip but they are a different team at home and also will get to Nathan Eovaldi early and often in this one. Tampa Bay is averaging 6.6 runs per game when hitting at Tropicana Field this season. Eovaldi is still getting factored into games as if he was the same pitcher who raised his game in the 2018 post-season with the Red Sox. The fact is that he is not as all the injuries have caught up with him. He has had two Tommy John surgeries and is coming off an injury-shortened 2019 campaign as well. Eovaldi compiled a 5.99 ERA last season in 23 games (12 starts) and he got rocked by the Mets for 8 hits in 5 innings in his most recent start. The Rays Charlie Morton got rocked in his first start this season (at home no less) but then was better in his 2nd one though he still allowed 6 hits in 5 innings and was hit quite hard. He struggles more against lefties and the Red Sox will have plenty of left-handed lumber in the lineup tonight plus some big right-handed sticks like Xander Bogaerts whom no one wants to face! While the Rays do have a solid bullpen behind Morton the Red Sox bats are quite dangerous. As for the Boston bullpen, they have issues and their team ERA is high for a reason! That said, the Red Sox pitching is bad enough that the Rays bats come to life at home. The Boston bats are strong enough that the Rays pitchers prove susceptible. Combining those factors and the fact that Eovaldi and Morton have been more hittable than usual early this season and you have the makings of an easy over in this one. Bet the OVER in the Rays game in early evening action Tuesday