Run Line Blowout MLB 10*
(MLB) Cincinnati vs. Arizona,
Point Spread: -1.50 | 130.00 Arizona (Home)
Result: Loss
#904 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 on the Run Line (+130) over Cincinnati Reds, Thursday at 9:40 PM ET - The Reds off double-header sweep on the road yesterday and now on the road again for this one. That makes this a tough spot for Cincinnati and they are running into a tough hurler too. The Diamondbacks are starting Merrill Kelly in this one and he is 7-3 with a 2.51 ERA in his night starts this season. Opponents are hitting just .206 against him in his evening games and just .200 against him in his home starts. The Reds are expected to counter with Brandon Williamson here. He has a 5.24 ERA in night games this season and a 4.43 ERA so far in the month of August. Williamson is facing an Arizona team that has won 9 of 11 games and 7 of those 9 wins have come by at least a 2-run margin. The Reds have now won 3 straight games but this was on the heels of a 5-12 stretch for Cincinnati and 9 of those 12 losses were by a multi-run margin. That is why, instead of laying the bigger juice on the money line in this one, we turn to the run line for maximum line value here. The hosts should roll big in this one.   We're getting some nice value laying -1.5 in this one at a price in the +130 comeback range with the Diamondbacks. Lay the 1.5 runs here!