Tampa Bay has been subpar on the road this year and Dallas is 25-7-1 at home this year. The Stars have scored an average of nearly four goals per game while the Lightning have scored more than three goals in only one of their last five games. Dallas has won two of their last three meetings against the Lightning and two of three in Dallas. The Stars also still have a shot at claiming the top seed in the Western Conference, so I'll take the home favorite here.