Cincy is a strong defensive team, ranking 20th in defensive efficiency, especially inside the arc (48.1% opponent 2PT%) and at the rim (26th in average opponent near-proximity shooting percentage). It's also adept at forcing turnovers (13.2 per game) and scoring off them (29th in quick points off breakaway steals). UCF ranks 280th in 2PT%, 170th in near-proximity%, and 252nd in turnovers per game.

Cincy beat UCF by ten on the road two months ago. It's 8-3-2 ATS in its previous 13 contests, while UCF is 5-10 SU and 6-9 ATS in the last 15 games. With the Knights' top scorer Keyshawn Hall (18.8 PPG and 7.1 RPG) in the transfer portal, I don't envision them winning or covering tonight.