I liked the under in game one, but these teams proved they can push runs home without the long ball. I expect more of the same in the series finale, with San Diego playing some small ball and Atlanta doing the same. The Padres have been a good offensive club since last year's All-Star break, and the early returns from this series are encouraging. AJ Smith-Shawver has upside, but he's unlikely to be flawless tomorrow against the Padres' veteran lineup. Nick Pivetta is also talented, but he gave up 28 homers in 26 starts last year and has never had an ERA below four as a big-leaguer.

I'll bet on the over at 7.5 runs scored!