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Auburn hasn't played as dominantly as I expected in the tournament, starting slow in the first half of all three games. The Tigers needed a big rally to put away Michigan and could get caught looking cocky if they try the same with MSU. The Spartans have been a terrific second-half team all season, thriving in the final ten or so minutes. If they outperform the Tigers in the first half, Auburn could be on upset alert. Michigan State will slow down the pace in the half-court to muck things up and could frustrate the Tigers with their perimeter defense. MSU leads the country in three-point defense, and the three-ball is a huge part of Auburn's offensive identity. 

I favor Michigan State ATS as 5.5-point dogs on Sunday!