Miami has turned it up a notch defensively recently but has also made strides on offense (117.4 offensive rating over the last four games). Atlanta is 16-19 with a -1.9 net rating on the road this year, including 1-5 straight-up in road games with lines of +3 to -3. The Heat are 13-9 SU as home favorites and 8-5 against their division foes this season. I feel like Miami has some momentum, especially on defense, and will win again tonight at home. At -120, the ML isn't too rich for my taste, either.