Milwaukee has the superior starting pitcher in Freddy Peralta (11-9 record with a 3.68 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and a 10.4 K/9 last season) against the Yankees' Carlos Rodón (ranked in the bottom half of the league in xERA, average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate).

NY's lineup isn't nearly as strong as last season, as Juan Soto is playing in Queens, and Giancarlo Stanton and DJ LeMahieu are out. We won't know what we're getting in NY's new pieces (Paul Goldscmidt and Cody Bellinger) yet, either.

Milwaukee has significant value on the moneyline at +125 odds.