The Suns are among the slowest-tempo teams in the league, ranking 21st in pace. At home, I expect them to dictate the pace. They could also struggle offensively for spurts of action, as the Bucks are a defensive-minded team stout inside and beyond the arc. Phoenix ranks last in rim shot attempt rate and mid-range shot attempt rate, so if their three-pointers aren't falling, points will be hard to come by. The Suns also rank 26th in offensive rebounding rate and Milwaukee ranks 6th in opponent free-throw attempt rate.

In a slower-paced game, a lower-scoring performance by the home team will keep the total under the number.