The Tar Heels caught fire from three-point range (14-for-24) against San Diego State, punching their official ticket to March Madness. They proved they belong in the field, and I would be shocked if they didn't sustain their momentum against the Rebels.

UNC is a dangerous team when it can knock down threes, as it primarily focuses on scoring at the rim (8th in near-proximity attempt rate). The Tar Heels also rank 38th in free-throw attempt rate and 28th in second-chance conversion percentage off offensive rebounds. Ole Miss is foul-prone (209th in opponent FT attempt rate) and allows a lot of three-pointers (203rd in opponent 3PT attempt rate). It's also 211th in potential quick points allowed off offensive rebounds.

The Rebels sport an efficient offense but lost six of their final eight games. The Heels have a serious edge in the momentum department and will continue to play with a chip on their shoulders after most experts complained about their selection to the tourney. I'll side with the hotter, more motivated team as slight ML favorites!