PREMIUM
UNDER 143: UNC-SAN DIEGO ST
(NCAAB) Tar Heels (UNC) vs. Aztecs (SDSU),
Total: 143.00 | -108.00 Under
Result: Loss
Total: 143.00 | -108.00 Under
Result: Loss
Trend: First Four unders are 31-21 (60%) with a 15% ROI.
SDSU is slow-paced (245th in tempo) and in for a challenge against the Heels' athletic, talented defense (53rd in defensive efficiency). I really like how they stack up defensively, though.
The Aztecs' defense ranks sixth nationally in points per possession allowed in transition, an x-factor to slowing the transition-reliant Tar Heels. SDSU has size and athleticism that will make UNC's half-court offense stagnant, as it's dependent on iso ball and pick-and-rolls. SDSU is 13th nationally in defensive efficiency rating, 8th in 2-point field goal percentage, 1st in block rate, and 18th in field goal percentage allowed at the rim. The Tar Heels don't shoot many threes (228th in 3PT attempt rate), so they're unlikely to be able to counter with a hot shooting performance from long range.
SDSU is slow-paced (245th in tempo) and in for a challenge against the Heels' athletic, talented defense (53rd in defensive efficiency). I really like how they stack up defensively, though.
The Aztecs' defense ranks sixth nationally in points per possession allowed in transition, an x-factor to slowing the transition-reliant Tar Heels. SDSU has size and athleticism that will make UNC's half-court offense stagnant, as it's dependent on iso ball and pick-and-rolls. SDSU is 13th nationally in defensive efficiency rating, 8th in 2-point field goal percentage, 1st in block rate, and 18th in field goal percentage allowed at the rim. The Tar Heels don't shoot many threes (228th in 3PT attempt rate), so they're unlikely to be able to counter with a hot shooting performance from long range.
