PREMIUM
MIAMI HEAT ML: NBA BEST BET
(NBA) Nuggets (DEN) vs. Heat (MIA),
Money Line: -110.00 Heat (MIA) (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -110.00 Heat (MIA) (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a great spot for the Heat!
Miami is 29-14 straight-up as a home favorite since the start of last year and 51-39 SU against defenses that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or higher from the field. Denver is also 14-15 SU when the spread is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons.
On top of that, historical trends indicate the Heat should win and cover (although I'm just betting them straight-up with the spread at -1). Betting favorites who have won 51-60% of their games that failed to cover in consecutive games are 8-1 ATS when playing teams with winning records this season. That situation is 81-39 ATS since 2021.
Denver is playing its third game in four nights, lost by 20 to Houston last time out and both Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic are questionable to play tonight. Miami is a top-five three-point shooting team and a top-ten defensive team. With his suspension completed, Jimmy Butler may also play tonight.
Miami is 29-14 straight-up as a home favorite since the start of last year and 51-39 SU against defenses that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or higher from the field. Denver is also 14-15 SU when the spread is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons.
On top of that, historical trends indicate the Heat should win and cover (although I'm just betting them straight-up with the spread at -1). Betting favorites who have won 51-60% of their games that failed to cover in consecutive games are 8-1 ATS when playing teams with winning records this season. That situation is 81-39 ATS since 2021.
Denver is playing its third game in four nights, lost by 20 to Houston last time out and both Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic are questionable to play tonight. Miami is a top-five three-point shooting team and a top-ten defensive team. With his suspension completed, Jimmy Butler may also play tonight.
