Indiana has won nine straight against Houston, going 6-2-2 against the spread. While the Rockets are on the come-up, they should fear a Pacers team coming off an embarrassing loss. Indiana can score at will and need a bounce-back effort. Keep in mind, that loss to the Raptors was in the second game of a back-to-back on the road. The Rockets trailed early against the Bucks in their last game, and while they were able to dig themselves out of that hole to nearly win, doing the same against the Pacers will be challenging.

There are injuries on both squads that could affect this outcome, and while I expect Indiana to lose if Jalen Green (illness) suits up, it could win straight-up if he doesn't play. Regardless, I believe the market has gotten high on Houston and believe there is value on the Pacers off of a poor showing versus Toronto.